Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) - Revision history

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== What is Causal Layered Analysis? ==
Causal Layered Analysis (abbreviated as CLA) is a group sense-making technique used to explore the underlying causes and worldviews contributing to a situation. Working together, groups made up of people representing different perspectives respond to a central question with:

*Litany: how they "feel" about it
*Causes: what's creating the situation
*Worldview: the perspectives shaping it
*Myths: the underlying stories feed it

The results of a CLA exercise are often shown as an iceberg, with the Problem visible above the water, and the Litany, Causes, Worldviews, and Myths shown progressively larger below the water. When complete, groups use the CLA to better understand the problem and inform their vision of the future.<ref>Definition of Causal Layered Analysis [https://www.lucidmeetings.com/glossary/causal-layered-analysis Lucid Meetings]</ref><ref>[https://www.shapingtomorrow.com/webtext/55 Shaping Tomorrow]</ref>

== References ==
<references/>

← Older revision		Revision as of 18:14, 7 December 2022
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	== References ==		== References ==
	<references/>		<references/>
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		+	__NOTOC__

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-== What is Causal Layered Analysis?<ref>Definition of Causal Layered Analysis [https://www.lucidmeetings.com/glossary/causal-layered-analysis Lucid Meetings]</ref> ==
+== What is Causal Layered Analysis?<ref>[https://www.lucidmeetings.com/glossary/causal-layered-analysis Definition of Causal Layered Analysis]</ref> ==
 '''Causal Layered Analysis''' (abbreviated as CLA) is a group sense-making technique used to explore the underlying causes and worldviews contributing to a situation. Working together, groups made up of people representing different perspectives respond to a central question with:
 *Litany: how they "feel" about it
@@ Line 6: / Line 6: @@
 *Myths: the underlying stories feed it
-The results of a CLA exercise are often shown as an iceberg, with the Problem visible above the water, and the Litany, Causes, Worldviews, and Myths shown progressively larger below the water. When complete, groups use the CLA to better understand the problem and inform their [[vision]] of the future.
+The results of a CLA exercise are often shown as an iceberg, with the Problem visible above the water, and the Litany, Causes, Worldviews, and Myths shown progressively larger below the water. When complete, groups use the CLA to better understand the problem and inform their vision of the future.
@@ Line 12: / Line 12: @@
 source: Philipp Kuerten
-== The Layers of CLA<ref>The Fours layers of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) [https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Philipp_Kuerten/publication/329686603_European_Space_Futures_-_Using_Causal_Layered_Analysis_on_the_Director_General's_Proposal_at_ESA's_CM16_-_An_Introduction_of_Critical_Futures_Studies_to_Space_Strategies/links/5c154366299bf139c75bbd94/European-Space-Futures-Using-Causal-Layered-Analysis-on-the-Director-Generals-Proposal-at-ESAs-CM16-An-Introduction-of-Critical-Futures-Studies-to-Space-Strategies.pdf Philipp Kuerten]</ref> ==
 CLA presumes four layers of analysis.
-*First, the litany, the official narrative, the public [[output]], and the most visible of any narrative, often based on immediate political decisions, and what would be typically seen in news coverage of the issue. The litany can be changed easily and is what most people will observe about a narrative, often without becoming aware of its deeper foundations.
+*First, the litany, the official narrative, the public output, and the most visible of any narrative, often based on immediate political decisions, and what would be typically seen in news coverage of the issue. The litany can be changed easily and is what most people will observe about a narrative, often without becoming aware of its deeper foundations.
-*The second layer behind the litany is what is usually studied academically or is published in more distinguished editorial newspapers. Those are the social causes, political and historical, economic and technological factors, or the STEEP (social, technological, economic, environmental, political) analysis. Here, the litany or quantitative [[data]] gets an interpretative perspective and different agents and actors are analysed.
+*The second layer behind the litany is what has usually been studied academically or is published in more distinguished editorial newspapers. Those are the social causes, political and historical, economic and technological factors, or the STEEP (social, technological, economic, environmental, political) analysis. Here, the litany or quantitative data gets an interpretative perspective and different agents and actors are analyzed.
-*The third layer is often part of deeper academic discourse. Here, the structures and worldviews and other discourses behind the litany are analysed with the goal to find deeper, social, linguistic and cultural structures that are “actor invariant” (Inayatullah, 1998, p. 820) and much less prone to change. Levels of analysis in this layer include the stakeholders that are involved, their ideological background, deeper civilizational and worldview-related aspects and their epistemic and [[value]] orientation.
+*The third layer is often part of deeper academic discourse. Here, the structures and worldviews and other discourses behind the litany are analyzed with the goal to find deeper, social, linguistic, and cultural structures that are “actor invariant” (Inayatullah, 1998, p. 820) and much less prone to change. Levels of analysis in this layer include the stakeholders that are involved, their ideological background, deeper civilizational and worldview-related aspects, and their epistemic and value orientation.
-*The fourth layer deals with myths and metaphors and all additional deep stories behind the narratives that often remain invisible. It deals with “collective archetypes - the unconscious and often emotive dimensions of the problem” (Inayatullah, 2004, p. 17). At this layer the analysis gets a postmodern, a postcolonial and speculative layer, however especially concerning future and space narratives, heavily mystified areas, this might proof to be the most important or most diverse layer.
+*The fourth layer deals with myths and metaphors and all additional deep stories behind the narratives that often remain invisible. It deals with “collective archetypes - the unconscious and often emotive dimensions of the problem” (Inayatullah, 2004, p. 17). At this layer the analysis gets a postmodern, postcolonial and speculative layer, however especially concerning future and space narratives, heavily mystified areas, this might prove to be the most important or most diverse layer.
-== Benefits and Disadvantages of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)<ref>Advantages and Disadvantages of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)[https://www.shapingtomorrow.com/webtext/55 Shaping Tomorrow]</ref> ==
+== Benefits and Disadvantages of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)<ref>[https://www.shapingtomorrow.com/webtext/55 Advantages and Disadvantages of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)]</ref> ==
-''Benefits''
+<u>''Benefits''</u>
 *Collaborative and appealing to a wide range of participants
 *Integrative with other foresight methods
@@ Line 47: / Line 47: @@
 *Develops shared visions of a preferred organizational future
 *Potential for issue transformation
-*Links short, medium and long-term strategic thinking
+*Links short, medium, and long-term strategic thinking
 *Ensures actions emerge from depth, instead of a checklist of things to do
-''Disadvantages''
+<u>''Disadvantages''</u>
 *Needs a clearly expressed question to be prepared
-*Requires participants to be willing to share their perspectives and challenge their assumptions about how the [[organization]] operates
+*Requires participants to be willing to share their perspectives and challenge their assumptions about how the organization operates
 *Requires acceptance of the basic CLA theory by the participants
 *May constrain action through 'analysis/paralysis'
 *May reduce individual creativity
-*Needs time and requires undertstanding of depth and patience
+*Needs time and requires an understanding of depth and patience
-*Requires experienced facilitator
+*Requires an experienced facilitator
 == References ==
 <references/>

@@ Line 6: / Line 6: @@
 *Myths: the underlying stories feed it
-The results of a CLA exercise are often shown as an iceberg, with the Problem visible above the water, and the Litany, Causes, Worldviews, and Myths shown progressively larger below the water. When complete, groups use the CLA to better understand the problem and inform their vision of the future.
+The results of a CLA exercise are often shown as an iceberg, with the Problem visible above the water, and the Litany, Causes, Worldviews, and Myths shown progressively larger below the water. When complete, groups use the CLA to better understand the problem and inform their [[vision]] of the future.
@@ Line 12: / Line 12: @@
 source: Philipp Kuerten
-Causal layered analysis (CLA) is offered as a new research theory and method. As a theory it seeks to integrate empiricist, interpretive, critical, and action learning modes of knowing. As a method, its utility is not in predicting the future but in creating transformative spaces for the creation of alternative futures. It is also likely to be useful in developing more effective — deeper, inclusive, longer term — policy
+Causal layered analysis (CLA) is offered as a new research theory and method. As a theory it seeks to integrate empiricist, interpretive, critical, and action learning modes of knowing. As a method, its utility is not in predicting the future but in creating transformative spaces for the creation of alternative futures. It is also likely to be useful in developing more effective — deeper, inclusive, longer term — [[policy]]
 == The Layers of CLA<ref>The Fours layers of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) [https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Philipp_Kuerten/publication/329686603_European_Space_Futures_-_Using_Causal_Layered_Analysis_on_the_Director_General's_Proposal_at_ESA's_CM16_-_An_Introduction_of_Critical_Futures_Studies_to_Space_Strategies/links/5c154366299bf139c75bbd94/European-Space-Futures-Using-Causal-Layered-Analysis-on-the-Director-Generals-Proposal-at-ESAs-CM16-An-Introduction-of-Critical-Futures-Studies-to-Space-Strategies.pdf Philipp Kuerten]</ref> ==
 CLA presumes four layers of analysis.
-*First, the litany, the official narrative, the public output, and the most visible of any narrative, often based on immediate political decisions, and what would be typically seen in news coverage of the issue. The litany can be changed easily and is what most people will observe about a narrative, often without becoming aware of its deeper foundations.
+*First, the litany, the official narrative, the public [[output]], and the most visible of any narrative, often based on immediate political decisions, and what would be typically seen in news coverage of the issue. The litany can be changed easily and is what most people will observe about a narrative, often without becoming aware of its deeper foundations.
-*The second layer behind the litany is what is usually studied academically or is published in more distinguished editorial newspapers. Those are the social causes, political and historical, economic and technological factors, or the STEEP (social, technological, economic, environmental, political) analysis. Here, the litany or quantitative data gets an interpretative perspective and different agents and actors are analysed.
+*The second layer behind the litany is what is usually studied academically or is published in more distinguished editorial newspapers. Those are the social causes, political and historical, economic and technological factors, or the STEEP (social, technological, economic, environmental, political) analysis. Here, the litany or quantitative [[data]] gets an interpretative perspective and different agents and actors are analysed.
-*The third layer is often part of deeper academic discourse. Here, the structures and worldviews and other discourses behind the litany are analysed with the goal to find deeper, social, linguistic and cultural structures that are “actor invariant” (Inayatullah, 1998, p. 820) and much less prone to change. Levels of analysis in this layer include the stakeholders that are involved, their ideological background, deeper civilizational and worldview-related aspects and their epistemic and value orientation.
+*The third layer is often part of deeper academic discourse. Here, the structures and worldviews and other discourses behind the litany are analysed with the goal to find deeper, social, linguistic and cultural structures that are “actor invariant” (Inayatullah, 1998, p. 820) and much less prone to change. Levels of analysis in this layer include the stakeholders that are involved, their ideological background, deeper civilizational and worldview-related aspects and their epistemic and [[value]] orientation.
 *The fourth layer deals with myths and metaphors and all additional deep stories behind the narratives that often remain invisible. It deals with “collective archetypes - the unconscious and often emotive dimensions of the problem” (Inayatullah, 2004, p. 17). At this layer the analysis gets a postmodern, a postcolonial and speculative layer, however especially concerning future and space narratives, heavily mystified areas, this might proof to be the most important or most diverse layer.
@@ Line 27: / Line 27: @@
 The Global Financial Crisis
 Terrorism futures
-Global governance
+Global [[governance]]
 Ageing and the changing workforce
 Educational and university futures
@@ Line 52: / Line 52: @@
 ''Disadvantages''
 *Needs a clearly expressed question to be prepared
-*Requires participants to be willing to share their perspectives and challenge their assumptions about how the organization operates
+*Requires participants to be willing to share their perspectives and challenge their assumptions about how the [[organization]] operates
 *Requires acceptance of the basic CLA theory by the participants
 *May constrain action through 'analysis/paralysis'

@@ Line 11: / Line 11: @@
 [[File:CLA Iceberg.png|450px|CLA Iceberg]]<br />
 source: Philipp Kuerten
@@ Line 20: / Line 22: @@
 *The fourth layer deals with myths and metaphors and all additional deep stories behind the narratives that often remain invisible. It deals with “collective archetypes - the unconscious and often emotive dimensions of the problem” (Inayatullah, 2004, p. 17). At this layer the analysis gets a postmodern, a postcolonial and speculative layer, however especially concerning future and space narratives, heavily mystified areas, this might proof to be the most important or most diverse layer.
 The Global Financial Crisis
 Terrorism futures
@@ Line 41: / Line 35: @@
 Agricultural policy in Australia
 The new national narrative in Singapore
-<ref>[https://www.shapingtomorrow.com/webtext/55 Shaping Tomorrow]</ref>
+== Benefits and Disadvantages of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)<ref>Advantages and Disadvantages of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)[https://www.shapingtomorrow.com/webtext/55 Shaping Tomorrow]</ref> ==
 == References ==
 <references/>

@@ Line 19: / Line 19: @@
 *The third layer is often part of deeper academic discourse. Here, the structures and worldviews and other discourses behind the litany are analysed with the goal to find deeper, social, linguistic and cultural structures that are “actor invariant” (Inayatullah, 1998, p. 820) and much less prone to change. Levels of analysis in this layer include the stakeholders that are involved, their ideological background, deeper civilizational and worldview-related aspects and their epistemic and value orientation.
 *The fourth layer deals with myths and metaphors and all additional deep stories behind the narratives that often remain invisible. It deals with “collective archetypes - the unconscious and often emotive dimensions of the problem” (Inayatullah, 2004, p. 17). At this layer the analysis gets a postmodern, a postcolonial and speculative layer, however especially concerning future and space narratives, heavily mystified areas, this might proof to be the most important or most diverse layer.
 == Benefits of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)<ref>Benefits of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)[https://www.metafuture.org/Articles/CausalLayeredAnalysis.htm Metafuture]</ref> ==

← Older revision		Revision as of 22:31, 6 January 2021
Line 8:		Line 8:
	The results of a CLA exercise are often shown as an iceberg, with the Problem visible above the water, and the Litany, Causes, Worldviews, and Myths shown progressively larger below the water. When complete, groups use the CLA to better understand the problem and inform their vision of the future.		The results of a CLA exercise are often shown as an iceberg, with the Problem visible above the water, and the Litany, Causes, Worldviews, and Myths shown progressively larger below the water. When complete, groups use the CLA to better understand the problem and inform their vision of the future.

		+
		+	[[File:CLA Iceberg.png\|450px\|CLA Iceberg]]<br />
		+	source: Philipp Kuerten
		+
		+
		+	== The Layers of CLA<re>The Fours layers of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) [https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Philipp_Kuerten/publication/329686603_European_Space_Futures_-_Using_Causal_Layered_Analysis_on_the_Director_General's_Proposal_at_ESA's_CM16_-_An_Introduction_of_Critical_Futures_Studies_to_Space_Strategies/links/5c154366299bf139c75bbd94/European-Space-Futures-Using-Causal-Layered-Analysis-on-the-Director-Generals-Proposal-at-ESAs-CM16-An-Introduction-of-Critical-Futures-Studies-to-Space-Strategies.pdf Philipp Kuerten]</ref> ==
		+	CLA presumes four layers of analysis.
		+	*First, the litany, the official narrative, the public output, and the most visible of any narrative, often based on immediate political decisions, and what would be typically seen in news coverage of the issue. The litany can be changed easily and is what most people will observe about a narrative, often without becoming aware of its deeper foundations.
		+	*The second layer behind the litany is what is usually studied academically or is published in more distinguished editorial newspapers. Those are the social causes, political and historical, economic and technological factors, or the STEEP (social, technological, economic, environmental, political) analysis. Here, the litany or quantitative data gets an interpretative perspective and different agents and actors are analysed.
		+	*The third layer is often part of deeper academic discourse. Here, the structures and worldviews and other discourses behind the litany are analysed with the goal to find deeper, social, linguistic and cultural structures that are “actor invariant” (Inayatullah, 1998, p. 820) and much less prone to change. Levels of analysis in this layer include the stakeholders that are involved, their ideological background, deeper civilizational and worldview-related aspects and their epistemic and value orientation.
		+	*The fourth layer deals with myths and metaphors and all additional deep stories behind the narratives that often remain invisible. It deals with “collective archetypes - the unconscious and often emotive dimensions of the problem” (Inayatullah, 2004, p. 17). At this layer the analysis gets a postmodern, a postcolonial and speculative layer, however especially concerning future and space narratives, heavily mystified areas, this might proof to be the most important or most diverse layer.

	== Benefits of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)<ref>Benefits of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)[https://www.metafuture.org/Articles/CausalLayeredAnalysis.htm Metafuture]</ref> ==		== Benefits of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)<ref>Benefits of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)[https://www.metafuture.org/Articles/CausalLayeredAnalysis.htm Metafuture]</ref> ==

← Older revision		Revision as of 22:11, 6 January 2021
Line 6:		Line 6:
	*Myths: the underlying stories feed it		*Myths: the underlying stories feed it

−	The results of a CLA exercise are often shown as an iceberg, with the Problem visible above the water, and the Litany, Causes, Worldviews, and Myths shown progressively larger below the water. When complete, groups use the CLA to better understand the problem and inform their vision of the future.<ref>[https://www.shapingtomorrow.com/webtext/55 Shaping Tomorrow]</ref>	+	The results of a CLA exercise are often shown as an iceberg, with the Problem visible above the water, and the Litany, Causes, Worldviews, and Myths shown progressively larger below the water. When complete, groups use the CLA to better understand the problem and inform their vision of the future.
		+
		+
		+	== Benefits of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)<ref>Benefits of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)[https://www.metafuture.org/Articles/CausalLayeredAnalysis.htm Metafuture]</ref> ==
		+	Some of the benefits of CLA are:
		+	*Expands the range and richness of scenarios;
		+	*When used in a workshop setting, it leads to the inclusion of different ways of knowing among participants;
		+	*Appeals to and can be used by a wider range of individuals as it incorporates non-textual and poetic/artistic expression in the futures process.
		+	*Layers participant's positions (conflicting and harmonious ones);
		+	*Moves the debate/discussion beyond the superficial and obvious to the deeper and marginal;
		+	*Allows for a range of transformative actions;
		+	*Leads to policy actions that can be informed by alternative layers of analysis;
		+	*Reinstates the vertical in social analysis, ie from postmodern relativism to global ethics;
		+
		+
		+
		+
		+
		+	<ref>[https://www.shapingtomorrow.com/webtext/55 Shaping Tomorrow]</ref>

@@ Line 1: / Line 1: @@
-== What is Causal Layered Analysis? ==
+== What is Causal Layered Analysis?<ref>Definition of Causal Layered Analysis [https://www.lucidmeetings.com/glossary/causal-layered-analysis Lucid Meetings]</ref> ==
-Causal Layered Analysis (abbreviated as CLA) is a group sense-making technique used to explore the underlying causes and worldviews contributing to a situation. Working together, groups made up of people representing different perspectives respond to a central question with:
+'''Causal Layered Analysis''' (abbreviated as CLA) is a group sense-making technique used to explore the underlying causes and worldviews contributing to a situation. Working together, groups made up of people representing different perspectives respond to a central question with:
 *Litany: how they "feel" about it
 *Causes: what's creating the situation
@@ Line 7: / Line 6: @@
 *Myths: the underlying stories feed it
-The results of a CLA exercise are often shown as an iceberg, with the Problem visible above the water, and the Litany, Causes, Worldviews, and Myths shown progressively larger below the water. When complete, groups use the CLA to better understand the problem and inform their vision of the future.<ref>Definition of Causal Layered Analysis [https://www.lucidmeetings.com/glossary/causal-layered-analysis Lucid Meetings]</ref><ref>[https://www.shapingtomorrow.com/webtext/55 Shaping Tomorrow]</ref>
+The results of a CLA exercise are often shown as an iceberg, with the Problem visible above the water, and the Litany, Causes, Worldviews, and Myths shown progressively larger below the water. When complete, groups use the CLA to better understand the problem and inform their vision of the future.<ref>[https://www.shapingtomorrow.com/webtext/55 Shaping Tomorrow]</ref>